Ophelia: redux

So here's the deal. Ophelia is spinning around just south of hatteras. We are not getting swell from her right now for 2 readons.

1 hatteras (those bastards) is blocking some of the swell

2) (the real reason) almost none of the winds in this storm are blowing in our direction. This is unfortunate because we are going to be switching into a offshore wind direction by tomorrow.

The forecast.

The winds will start to point in our direction, and the storm will start to move north.
This means good quality south swell for NJ. Combined with west winds i would guess that monday is likely to see rising surf, up to chest high, and tuesday sees probably the best conditions of the week with head high waves, and some of the best spots are going to see overhead sets.

So monday and tuesday should be good, and depending on what the storm does, the winds might stay offshore longer into wed, thurs.

Note!!!!!
Opelia is a tropical storm in an area that has very few winds pushing her around. This means it is Very hard to predict the forecast track. I think the forecast i am giving you is the best forecast we have at this time, but it is possible that ophelia could make landfall in south or north carolina, changing the forecast and our potential for waves for the worse.