Hurricane? Franklin

Looks like franklin is starting to gain some strength. Recent observations have indicated that Franklin may have attained hurricane status. There are three different scenarios for what franklin will do.

1)
The first scenario is the one that the swell models I use are assuming. That is that the storm is going to be torn apart by a cold front approaching it as we speak. This scenario will result in the storm dying and having a minimal impact on the surf in NJ.

2)
The second scenario, which i think is the more likely one, is that the storm will not be destroyed by the cold front. The front may push the storm to the NE at an accelerated pace, which would produce some surf, but nothing specatuclar this storm is not yet large enough, or strong enough.
3)
There is one more possibility that is probably the best for surf on the east coast in general. The storm could be completely missed by the front moving through, and start meandering aroung in the atlantic coastal areas. Depending on its track it could give NJ some truly quality swell like we saw from Hurricane Danny in 2002. If you don't remember the storm you probably remember the 2 weeks of solid chest to head high swell we saw in early september of that year. We wont be likely to see a swell stick around that long, but a few days of chest to head high surf would not be out of the question towards the end of next week if this scenario is the one that actually happens.